Mutengo wenickel-copper-aluminium ramangwana wakadonha neinopfuura 15% mukati memwedzi, uye nyanzvi dzinotarisira kuti ichadzikama muhafu yechipiri yegore.

Zvinoenderana neruzhinji data, kusvika pakupera kwaChikunguru 4, mitengo yezvibvumirano zvemaindasitiri makuru emangwana esimbi, zvinosanganisira mhangura, aruminiyamu, zinc, nickel, lead, zvichingodaro, yadonha kusvika pamadhigirii akasiyana kubva muchikamu chechipiri, zvichimutsa kushushikana kwakapararira. pakati pevatengesi.

Kubva pakupera kwaJuly 4, mutengo we nickel wakaderera ne 23.53% mukati memwedzi, uchiteverwa nemutengo wemhangura wakadonha ne17.27%, mutengo wealuminium wakaderera ne16.5%, mutengo we zinc (23085, 365.00, 1.61). %) yakaderera ne14.95%, uye mutengo wekutungamira wakadonha ne4.58%.

Panyaya iyi, Ye Yindan, muongorori weBank of China Research Institute, akataura mubvunzurudzo nemutori wenhau we "Securities Daily" kuti zvinhu zvakonzera kuti mitengo yemaindasitiri makuru ezvigadzirwa zvesimbi zvirambe zvichidzika kubva yechipiri. kota inonyanya kuenderana netarisiro yehupfumi.

Ye Yindan yakazivisa kuti mhiri kwemakungwa, indasitiri yekugadzira yeupfumi hukuru hwenyika yakasimukira yakatanga kupera simba, uye vatengesi vari kuwedzera kunetseka pamusoro petarisiro yesimbi dzeindasitiri.Pasi pesimba rekukwira kwemitengo, chiyero chemubereko chinokwira neFederal Reserve uye geopolitical situations, zviitiko zvemaindasitiri muhupfumi hukuru hwepasi rose hwakasimukira seUnited States neEurope zvadzikira zvakanyanya.Semuenzaniso, US Markit Manufacturing PMI munaJune yaiva 52.4, mwedzi we23-yakaderera, uye yeEurope yekugadzira PMI yaiva 52, ichiwira kumwedzi we22 yakaderera, ichiwedzera kuwedzera kuderera kwemusika.Mumba, nekuda kwekukanganisa kwedenda muchikamu chechipiri, kudiwa kwesimbi dzemaindasitiri kwakarohwa nekukanganisa kwenguva pfupi, zvichiwedzera kudzvanywa kwemitengo kudonha.

"Zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yesimbi mumaindasitiri inotarisirwa kutsigirwa muhafu yechipiri yegore."Ye Yindan akataura kuti pasi rose stagflation mamiriro achanyanya kuoma muhafu yechipiri yegore.Zvinoenderana nezvakaitika kare, simbi dzemaindasitiri dzinotarisirwa kutsigirwa nemasimba ekumusoro panguva ye stagflation.Mumusika wepamba, sezvo denda richiwedzera kudzikama, uye nemaitiro anogara achifarirwa, kushandiswa kwesimbi dzemaindasitiri kunotarisirwa kudzikira muhafu yechipiri yegore.

Muchokwadi, muhafu yekutanga yegore, nyika yangu yakatanga nhevedzano yemitemo yekusimudzira hupfumi uye maturusi, achiisa hwaro hwekukura kwehupfumi muhafu yechipiri yegore.

Musi waChikumi 30, National Standing Committee yakaratidza 300 bhiriyoni yuan yemitemo yekuvandudza mari zviridzwa kutsigira kuvakwa kwezvirongwa zvikuru;musi waMay 31, "Notice of the State Council on Printing and Distributing a Package of Policies and Measures to Stabilize the Economy" yakabudiswa, ichida kuti hupfumi hugadzikane muchikamu chechipiri.Tichaedza kuvaka hwaro hwakasimba hwebudiriro muhafu yechipiri yegore uye kuchengetedza hupfumi huchishanda mukati mehuwandu hwakakodzera.

CITIC Futures inotenda kuti mumusika wepasi rose, kuvhunduka kwakanyanya munaJune kwapfuura.Panguva imwecheteyo, tarisiro yemumba yekukura kwakasimba muhafu yechipiri yegore inoramba ichivandudza.Zvinodiwa zvekutonga zvinoda kuti hurumende dzenzvimbo dzitumire chikamu chechitatu chezvirongwa zvechikwereti.Hurumende inoshingaira kudzikamisa hupfumi kuburikidza nekuvaka zvivakwa, izvo zvichabatsira kuvandudza macro tarisiro.Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wakazara wesimbi dzisina-ferrous uchachinja uye womira kudonha.

Wang Peng, purofesa weRenmin University yeChina, akaudza mutori wenhau we "Securities Daily" kuti kubva pamaonero epamba, mamiriro ehupfumi epamba achadzokera nekukurumidza muhafu yechipiri yegore.Ramba uchibudirira.

Wang Peng akazivisa kuti muhafu yekutanga yegore, yakakanganiswa nedenda uye mamiriro epasi rose, kushanda kwemamwe maindasitiri akadai sekugadzira uye kutakura zvinhu munyika yangu kwakadzvinyirirwa.Kubva pakupera kwekota yechipiri, denda repamba rakadzorwa zvine mutsindo, kugadzirwa kwehupfumi kwadzoka nekukurumidza, uye chivimbo chemusika chiri kuramba chichiwedzera.Mhedzisiro yakanaka yekushanda, kuwedzera kudiwa kwemba uye kuwedzera mari kuri pachena.

“Zvisinei, kuti mutengo wesimbi dzisina ferrous ungadzoka here muchikamu chechipiri chegore zvinoenderana nemamiriro akaita misika yepasi rose.Semuenzaniso, kana inflation yepasi rose inogona kudzikiswa, kana tarisiro yemusika inogona kushandura tarisiro, uye kana mitengo yemaindasitiri esimbi mumusika wepasi rose inogona kugadziridzwa, nezvimwe zvinhu izvi zvichakanganisa musika wepamba.Mitengo yemisika ine chekuita zvakanyanya.Wang Peng akadaro.


Nguva yekutumira: Jul-11-2022